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Textbook
Introduction
1. Common stock
1.1 Introduction and SIE review
1.2 Equity securities & trading
1.3 Suitability
1.4 Fundamental analysis
1.5 Technical analysis
1.5.1 The basics
1.5.2 Market trends
1.5.3 Saucers
1.5.4 Head & shoulders
1.5.5 Resistance & support
1.5.6 Theories
2. Preferred stock
3. Bond fundamentals
4. Corporate debt
5. Municipal debt
6. US government debt
7. Investment companies
8. Alternative pooled investments
9. Options
10. Taxes
11. The primary market
12. The secondary market
13. Brokerage accounts
14. Retirement & education plans
15. Rules & ethics
16. Suitability
Wrapping up
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1.5.3 Saucers
Achievable Series 7
1. Common stock
1.5. Technical analysis

Saucers

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Saucer formations are market trends that include a reversal. There are two types of saucer formations: saucer bottom formations and saucer top formations.

A saucer bottom formation looks something like this:

Saucer bottom formation

It resembles a saucer (a bowl). Technical analysts look for patterns like this because they may help predict future price movement. In this example, the stock price starts and ends in roughly the same area, but after reaching a low point it begins moving upward. This is a reverse downward trend: the price was trending down, then reversed and began trending up.

Technical analysts watch for the early stages of a saucer bottom formation. For example:

Saucer bottom formation

If a chartist identified this as the beginning stage of a saucer bottom formation, they might try to profit by going long (buying) the stock at this point:

Saucer bottom formation

Of course, the market is unpredictable and could move in a different direction. Still, prices sometimes trend in recognizable ways. A technical analyst who acts on this pattern is taking a risk, and that risk may or may not pay off.

If you flip the previous stock charts upside down, you get a saucer top formation. It looks like this:

Saucer top formation

This resembles an upside-down saucer (a bowl). Here, the market was trending upward, then flattened out, and then reversed downward. This is a reverse upward trend: the price was trending up, then reversed and began trending down. Chartists watch for the early stages of a saucer top formation.

Saucer top formation

If an investor correctly identifies the beginning of a saucer top formation, they might try to profit by going short (short selling) the stock at this point:

Saucer top formation

Again, the market is unpredictable and could move in a different direction. An investor who sells short is taking a significant risk (short selling comes with unlimited risk), but the trade could pay off. If the trend continued downward beyond this chart, the investor would make a significant profit.

Key points

Saucer bottom formation

  • Stock price falls, flattens, reverses upward
  • A reverse downward trend
  • Bullish indicator

Saucer top formation

  • Stock price rises, flattens, reverses downward
  • A reverse upward trend
  • Bearish indicator

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