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Textbook
1. Common stock
1.1 Introduction and SIE review
1.2 Equity securities & trading
1.3 Suitability
1.4 Fundamental analysis
1.5 Technical analysis
1.5.1 The basics
1.5.2 Market trends
1.5.3 Saucers
1.5.4 Head & shoulders
1.5.5 Resistance & support
1.5.6 Theories
2. Preferred stock
3. Bond fundamentals
4. Corporate debt
5. Municipal debt
6. US government debt
7. Investment companies
8. Alternative pooled investments
9. Options
10. Taxes
11. The primary market
12. The secondary market
13. Brokerage accounts
14. Retirement & education plans
15. Rules & ethics
16. Suitability
17. Wrapping up
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1.5.3 Saucers
Achievable Series 7
1. Common stock
1.5. Technical analysis

Saucers

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Saucer formations are market trends that include a reversal. There are two types of saucer formations: saucer bottom formations and saucer top formations.

A saucer bottom formation looks something like this:

Saucer bottom formation

It kind of looks like a saucer (bowl), right? Technical analysts try to identify trends like this, which help them predict future market movements. While the stock price started and ended in the same general area, the stock is moving upwards after bottoming out. This is referred to as a reverse downward trend. The stock price was moving down, then reversed back upward.

Technical analysts are on the lookout for the beginning of a saucer formation. For example:

Saucer bottom formation

If a chartist identified this as the beginning stage of a saucer bottom formation, they could make a quick profit by going long (buying) the stock at this point:

Saucer bottom formation

Of course, the market is unpredictable and could move in a different direction. However, the market does trend in a predictable fashion from time to time. A confident technical analyst making an investment would be taking a risk, but the risk could pay off.

If you were to flip the previous stock charts upside down, you’d have a saucer top formation. It looks like this:

Saucer top formation

Kind of like an upside-down saucer (bowl), right? The market was trending upward, flattened out, then reversed back downward. This is an example of a reverse upward trend. Chartists keep an eye out for the initial stages of a saucer top formation.

Saucer top formation

If properly identified as the beginning of a saucer top formation, an investor could make a quick profit by going short (short selling) the stock at this point:

Saucer top formation

Again, the market is unpredictable and could move in a different direction. A confident technical analyst making an investment would be taking a big risk (selling short comes with unlimited risk), but it could pay off. If the trend continued downward beyond this chart, the investor would make a significant profit.

Key points

Saucer bottom formation

  • Stock price falls, flattens, reverses upward
  • A reverse downward trend
  • Bullish indicator

Saucer top formation

  • Stock price rises, flattens, reverses downward
  • A reverse upward trend
  • Bearish indicator

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