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1. Core economic concepts
1.1 First principles
1.2 Opportunity cost examples
1.3 Ricardian trade
1.4 Macroeconomic choice
1.5 Markets
1.6 Demand and supply shifters
2. Measurement of economic performance
3. Modeling of income and prices
4. Financial sector
5. Long-run consequences of stabilization policy
6. Open economy
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1.2 Opportunity cost examples
Achievable AP Macroeconomics
1. Core economic concepts
Our AP Macroeconomics course is currently in development and is a work-in-progress.

Opportunity cost examples

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Opportunity cost is our first concept so important that we need to look at some extended examples to illustrate it. This subchapter starts with a couple of examples involving personal trade-offs, before turning to an important macroeconomic take on opportunity cost - the production possibilities curve.

Budget example

A simple example we can start with is the choice of what to buy when going out for fast food. To keep things simple let us go back to McDonald’s in 1955. Assume that we have 35 cents to spend and our our options are:

  • Hamburger (15 cents)
  • French fries (10 cents)
  • Milkshake (20 cents)

Ignoring tax, there are a number of combinations that we could afford. Two possibilities where we spend all 35 cents are that we could get a hamburger and a milkshake (15+20=35) or a hamburger and two french fries (15+2×10=35).

We could also buy a hamburger and french fry and have 10 cents leftover (15+10=25). In economics we will generally focus on examples where there is nothing left over, but in real-life decisions that is often something that happens because an individual decision is just one piece of a bigger picture.

In this McDonald’s example, we can see that one milkshake and two french fries have the same cost. So the opportunity cost of one milkshake can be viewed as two orders of french fries, or one french fry being equal to half of a milkshake.

In our next subchapter we will cover trade-offs involving production, thinking about how to allocate time to produce two goods. While we will be able to (and want to) discuss the trade-off between units of the goods directly, the root of those types of trade-offs will be that each good is produced using the same resource (labor).

College versus work

A deeper example is the choice of going to college. Each year of school has various measures of cost, and this presents an opportunity to clarify the difference between net and gross. A gross value is the dollar amount without any adjustments. Conceptually, it is a sticker price, in this case the prices of tuition, fees, and room and board.

Net values, on the other hand, reflect what is paid out of pocket. So the net is the gross, adjusted for things such as discounts, rebates, or added fees. If added fees sound strange, consider one you may have seen in real life. Some stores and restaurants charge an extra percentage for using a credit card. So the net cost can be different depending on how we choose to pay.

For our tuition example, the net cost includes all gross costs, tuition, fees, and room and board, with amounts of financial aid and scholarships taken out. Thus net values are what we really need, but they will usually not be opportunity cost on their own. The full opportunity cost must also account for that value of our next best choice.

For each year we not only have to pay for school, but we also give up earning wages. The basic trade-off is that we pay now and miss out on earning, in exchange for higher wages once we graduate. To compare we will want to calculate net lifetime earnings to see which option pays better.

To be realistic, there are other factors to add. Not every school has the same costs, not every major has the same earnings, and earnings and costs are not likely to be constant each year. Importantly, a dollar today and a dollar in future years are not worth the same. If we make educated guesses, we can calculate, but changing these guesses can change our decision.

The production possibilities curve

Models will be a critical component of our study of macroeconomics and another of the “Big Ideas” that will appear throughout the course. They are simplified descriptions of behavior, making assumptions to cut down on the details we have to consider in order to say something meaningful about an economic question.

The production possibilities curve (or PPC) is our first model of the macroeconomy. We start by setting up our assumptions for our sample country.

  • There are two goods that can be produced: food or microchips
  • There are no prices, but trade-offs exist
  • There is a fixed trade-off in production, we can costlessly switch from one good to the other
  • There is no trade, we sometimes call this autarky

This leads to the graph below, which shows the production possibilities curve. Even though we are labeling this a “curve” in AP Macroeconomics most examples presented with numbers will be linear.

Linear PPF: 100 microchips or 20 units of food
Production possibilities frontier (PPF)
Achievable

The curve represents the set of maximum combinations of each good we can produce at the same time. Anything inside the curve, including the curve itself, is feasible, or within our capacity to produce. All points outside of the curve are infeasible, or not possible for us to produce.

The numbers presented in this graph give us a lot of important information. The value on the x-axis tells us how many units of food we can produce if our country only makes food, 20 billion units. The value on the y-axis tells us how many units of microchips we can produce if we only make microchips, 100 billion units. Every other point on the graph gives a combination of food and microchips that we can make with the resources we have available to produce.

With food on the x-axis, the slope of the PPC is −20100​=−5. Its absolute value gives us the opportunity cost of food in terms of microchips, ​−20100​​=5. In general, that opportunity cost is what we gain of the y-axis good for giving up one unit of the x-axis good as well as what we have to give up of the y-axis good to gain one additional unit of the x-axis good. What we give up can always be viewed as a cost, and what is gained can be viewed as a benefit, as long as we keep in mind that these are in terms of physical units of goods and not money.

The opportunity cost of microchips in terms of food is the inverse of that. Every time we give up one unit of microchips we gain 10020​=0.2 units of food. And to gain one unit of microchips we would have to give up 0.2 units of food. For this example have forced it to be constant, so there is a fixed trade off in production. This means that every unit “costs” the same, so to produce 10 additional units of microchips we would need to give up 10×0.2=2 units of food. Only when the PPC is linear can we use this simplification.

And similarly every time we give up one unit of food, we gain 20100​=5 units of microchips. This type of analysis can always be viewed moving in each direction along the curve.

It is possible to use PPCs for more than just countries. We could use regions, states, cities or even individual factories or workshops.

The shape of the PPC

A straight line PPC means the opportunity cost is constant, because resources move between the two goods without losing anything. That is rarely true in practice. Some resources are better suited to one good than the other. A country making more food will first move the land and workers best suited to farming, and later it has to pull in resources that are better at making microchips. So each added unit of food costs more microchips than the last. This is increasing opportunity cost, and it gives the PPC a bowed-out shape, curving away from the origin.

A bowed-out PPC that gets steeper as food production rises
A bowed-out PPC shows increasing opportunity cost
Achievable

The less common case is decreasing opportunity cost, where each added unit costs less than the last and the PPC curves in toward the origin.

Shape of the PPC Opportunity cost Slope moving right
Straight line Constant Stays the same
Bowed out Increasing Gets steeper
Bowed in Decreasing Gets flatter

Shifts of the PPC

A PPC is drawn for a fixed amount of resources and a fixed level of technology. A change in either one moves the curve itself. More or better factors of production, such as labor, capital or natural resources, shift the PPC outward. So do improvements in technology or productivity. An outward shift is economic growth. Losing resources, for example to a war or a natural disaster, shifts the PPC inward, which is economic contraction.

A PPC shifting outward from PPC 1 to PPC 2
Economic growth shifts the PPC outward
Achievable

A change that only helps one good moves only that end of the curve. A better way of making microchips raises the y-axis intercept and leaves the x-axis intercept where it was.

This is different from moving along the curve. Moving from one point on the PPC to another is a change in what we choose to produce, not a change in what we are able to produce.

Efficiency

For most of our discussions, efficiency is our concept of achieving the optimal or most desirable outcome.

Definitions
Efficiency
The optimal use of scarce resources to produce goods and services

Efficiency is often about maximizing net benefits or minimizing waste. As a starting point efficiency can be thought of as allocating all available resources when we have a decision to make. Something that will get much attention is household decisions, and in macroeconomics all available income can be split into consumption and savings. Consumption will be anything we spend in a year, on any good or service. Savings is most simply everything that we do not spend, which will be a bit broader than savings in a personal finance sense. Thus “spending” need not represent use immediately, just that goods and services are paid for.

Efficiency is a fairly general term. So we add two more specific definitions of efficiency that are relevant for our macroeconomic stories.

Definitions
Productive efficiency
When production occurs at the lowest possible cost.
Allocative efficiency
When production represents society’s preferences.

In terms of the PPC, productive efficiency simply requires using all of the resources available. This allows us to split the set of feasible points into efficient and inefficient points. Every combination along the curve itself is productively efficient, while every value inside of the curve is inefficient. That is because if we are ever producing inside of the curve, it is possible for us to gain more production with more effective utilization of our resources.

Examples of this categorization of different allocations are shown in the image below.

Efficient point on curve, inefficient point inside, infeasible point outside
Categories of all production points
Achievable

At least for the PPC, allocative efficiency is generally not shown at this level. We may be told that a point represents the ideal production for society, but if that is not given to us we simply cannot say anything at all.

Opportunity cost basics (budget example)

  • Trade-offs emerge from spending a fixed budget on multiple goods
  • Opportunity cost = value of the good(s) given up to get another (e.g., 1 milkshake = 2 fries)
  • Foreshadows production trade-offs where goods share a common resource (labor)

College vs. work (net vs. gross)

  • Gross value: sticker price before adjustments (tuition, fees, room/board)
  • Net value: actual out-of-pocket cost after aid, scholarships, discounts/fees
  • True opportunity cost of college = net cost + value of next best alternative (forgone wages)
  • Must compare net lifetime earnings; complicated by varying costs/wages over time and time value of money

Production possibilities curve (PPC) basics

  • Model of macroeconomy under key assumptions: two goods, no prices, fixed trade-off, no trade (autarky)
  • Curve shows max combinations of two goods producible with available resources
  • Feasible points: on or inside curve; infeasible: outside curve
  • Slope of PPC = opportunity cost of x-axis good in terms of y-axis good (and vice versa is the inverse)
  • Linear PPC = constant opportunity cost, allows simple proportional calculations

Shape of the PPC

  • Straight line: constant opportunity cost, slope unchanged
  • Bowed outward (concave from origin): increasing opportunity cost — slope gets steeper as resources less suited to the good are used
  • Bowed inward: decreasing opportunity cost — slope gets flatter (less common)

Shifts of the PPC

  • Caused by changes in resources (labor, capital, natural resources) or technology/productivity
  • Outward shift = economic growth; inward shift = economic contraction (e.g., war, disaster)
  • Improvement affecting only one good shifts only that axis’s intercept
  • Distinguish shifting the curve (change in capacity) from moving along the curve (change in choice)

Efficiency

  • Efficiency: optimal use of scarce resources
  • Productive efficiency: production at lowest cost; on PPC = using all resources (points on curve)
  • Allocative efficiency: production matches society’s preferences (not shown via PPC alone)
  • Points on curve = efficient; inside curve = inefficient (could produce more); outside = infeasible

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Opportunity cost examples

Opportunity cost is our first concept so important that we need to look at some extended examples to illustrate it. This subchapter starts with a couple of examples involving personal trade-offs, before turning to an important macroeconomic take on opportunity cost - the production possibilities curve.

Budget example

A simple example we can start with is the choice of what to buy when going out for fast food. To keep things simple let us go back to McDonald’s in 1955. Assume that we have 35 cents to spend and our our options are:

  • Hamburger (15 cents)
  • French fries (10 cents)
  • Milkshake (20 cents)

Ignoring tax, there are a number of combinations that we could afford. Two possibilities where we spend all 35 cents are that we could get a hamburger and a milkshake (15+20=35) or a hamburger and two french fries (15+2×10=35).

We could also buy a hamburger and french fry and have 10 cents leftover (15+10=25). In economics we will generally focus on examples where there is nothing left over, but in real-life decisions that is often something that happens because an individual decision is just one piece of a bigger picture.

In this McDonald’s example, we can see that one milkshake and two french fries have the same cost. So the opportunity cost of one milkshake can be viewed as two orders of french fries, or one french fry being equal to half of a milkshake.

In our next subchapter we will cover trade-offs involving production, thinking about how to allocate time to produce two goods. While we will be able to (and want to) discuss the trade-off between units of the goods directly, the root of those types of trade-offs will be that each good is produced using the same resource (labor).

College versus work

A deeper example is the choice of going to college. Each year of school has various measures of cost, and this presents an opportunity to clarify the difference between net and gross. A gross value is the dollar amount without any adjustments. Conceptually, it is a sticker price, in this case the prices of tuition, fees, and room and board.

Net values, on the other hand, reflect what is paid out of pocket. So the net is the gross, adjusted for things such as discounts, rebates, or added fees. If added fees sound strange, consider one you may have seen in real life. Some stores and restaurants charge an extra percentage for using a credit card. So the net cost can be different depending on how we choose to pay.

For our tuition example, the net cost includes all gross costs, tuition, fees, and room and board, with amounts of financial aid and scholarships taken out. Thus net values are what we really need, but they will usually not be opportunity cost on their own. The full opportunity cost must also account for that value of our next best choice.

For each year we not only have to pay for school, but we also give up earning wages. The basic trade-off is that we pay now and miss out on earning, in exchange for higher wages once we graduate. To compare we will want to calculate net lifetime earnings to see which option pays better.

To be realistic, there are other factors to add. Not every school has the same costs, not every major has the same earnings, and earnings and costs are not likely to be constant each year. Importantly, a dollar today and a dollar in future years are not worth the same. If we make educated guesses, we can calculate, but changing these guesses can change our decision.

The production possibilities curve

Models will be a critical component of our study of macroeconomics and another of the “Big Ideas” that will appear throughout the course. They are simplified descriptions of behavior, making assumptions to cut down on the details we have to consider in order to say something meaningful about an economic question.

The production possibilities curve (or PPC) is our first model of the macroeconomy. We start by setting up our assumptions for our sample country.

  • There are two goods that can be produced: food or microchips
  • There are no prices, but trade-offs exist
  • There is a fixed trade-off in production, we can costlessly switch from one good to the other
  • There is no trade, we sometimes call this autarky

This leads to the graph below, which shows the production possibilities curve. Even though we are labeling this a “curve” in AP Macroeconomics most examples presented with numbers will be linear.

The curve represents the set of maximum combinations of each good we can produce at the same time. Anything inside the curve, including the curve itself, is feasible, or within our capacity to produce. All points outside of the curve are infeasible, or not possible for us to produce.

The numbers presented in this graph give us a lot of important information. The value on the x-axis tells us how many units of food we can produce if our country only makes food, 20 billion units. The value on the y-axis tells us how many units of microchips we can produce if we only make microchips, 100 billion units. Every other point on the graph gives a combination of food and microchips that we can make with the resources we have available to produce.

With food on the x-axis, the slope of the PPC is −20100​=−5. Its absolute value gives us the opportunity cost of food in terms of microchips, ​−20100​​=5. In general, that opportunity cost is what we gain of the y-axis good for giving up one unit of the x-axis good as well as what we have to give up of the y-axis good to gain one additional unit of the x-axis good. What we give up can always be viewed as a cost, and what is gained can be viewed as a benefit, as long as we keep in mind that these are in terms of physical units of goods and not money.

The opportunity cost of microchips in terms of food is the inverse of that. Every time we give up one unit of microchips we gain 10020​=0.2 units of food. And to gain one unit of microchips we would have to give up 0.2 units of food. For this example have forced it to be constant, so there is a fixed trade off in production. This means that every unit “costs” the same, so to produce 10 additional units of microchips we would need to give up 10×0.2=2 units of food. Only when the PPC is linear can we use this simplification.

And similarly every time we give up one unit of food, we gain 20100​=5 units of microchips. This type of analysis can always be viewed moving in each direction along the curve.

It is possible to use PPCs for more than just countries. We could use regions, states, cities or even individual factories or workshops.

The shape of the PPC

A straight line PPC means the opportunity cost is constant, because resources move between the two goods without losing anything. That is rarely true in practice. Some resources are better suited to one good than the other. A country making more food will first move the land and workers best suited to farming, and later it has to pull in resources that are better at making microchips. So each added unit of food costs more microchips than the last. This is increasing opportunity cost, and it gives the PPC a bowed-out shape, curving away from the origin.

The less common case is decreasing opportunity cost, where each added unit costs less than the last and the PPC curves in toward the origin.

Shape of the PPC Opportunity cost Slope moving right
Straight line Constant Stays the same
Bowed out Increasing Gets steeper
Bowed in Decreasing Gets flatter

Shifts of the PPC

A PPC is drawn for a fixed amount of resources and a fixed level of technology. A change in either one moves the curve itself. More or better factors of production, such as labor, capital or natural resources, shift the PPC outward. So do improvements in technology or productivity. An outward shift is economic growth. Losing resources, for example to a war or a natural disaster, shifts the PPC inward, which is economic contraction.

A change that only helps one good moves only that end of the curve. A better way of making microchips raises the y-axis intercept and leaves the x-axis intercept where it was.

This is different from moving along the curve. Moving from one point on the PPC to another is a change in what we choose to produce, not a change in what we are able to produce.

Efficiency

For most of our discussions, efficiency is our concept of achieving the optimal or most desirable outcome.

Definitions
Efficiency
The optimal use of scarce resources to produce goods and services

Efficiency is often about maximizing net benefits or minimizing waste. As a starting point efficiency can be thought of as allocating all available resources when we have a decision to make. Something that will get much attention is household decisions, and in macroeconomics all available income can be split into consumption and savings. Consumption will be anything we spend in a year, on any good or service. Savings is most simply everything that we do not spend, which will be a bit broader than savings in a personal finance sense. Thus “spending” need not represent use immediately, just that goods and services are paid for.

Efficiency is a fairly general term. So we add two more specific definitions of efficiency that are relevant for our macroeconomic stories.

Definitions
Productive efficiency
When production occurs at the lowest possible cost.
Allocative efficiency
When production represents society’s preferences.

In terms of the PPC, productive efficiency simply requires using all of the resources available. This allows us to split the set of feasible points into efficient and inefficient points. Every combination along the curve itself is productively efficient, while every value inside of the curve is inefficient. That is because if we are ever producing inside of the curve, it is possible for us to gain more production with more effective utilization of our resources.

Examples of this categorization of different allocations are shown in the image below.

At least for the PPC, allocative efficiency is generally not shown at this level. We may be told that a point represents the ideal production for society, but if that is not given to us we simply cannot say anything at all.

Key points

Opportunity cost basics (budget example)

  • Trade-offs emerge from spending a fixed budget on multiple goods
  • Opportunity cost = value of the good(s) given up to get another (e.g., 1 milkshake = 2 fries)
  • Foreshadows production trade-offs where goods share a common resource (labor)

College vs. work (net vs. gross)

  • Gross value: sticker price before adjustments (tuition, fees, room/board)
  • Net value: actual out-of-pocket cost after aid, scholarships, discounts/fees
  • True opportunity cost of college = net cost + value of next best alternative (forgone wages)
  • Must compare net lifetime earnings; complicated by varying costs/wages over time and time value of money

Production possibilities curve (PPC) basics

  • Model of macroeconomy under key assumptions: two goods, no prices, fixed trade-off, no trade (autarky)
  • Curve shows max combinations of two goods producible with available resources
  • Feasible points: on or inside curve; infeasible: outside curve
  • Slope of PPC = opportunity cost of x-axis good in terms of y-axis good (and vice versa is the inverse)
  • Linear PPC = constant opportunity cost, allows simple proportional calculations

Shape of the PPC

  • Straight line: constant opportunity cost, slope unchanged
  • Bowed outward (concave from origin): increasing opportunity cost — slope gets steeper as resources less suited to the good are used
  • Bowed inward: decreasing opportunity cost — slope gets flatter (less common)

Shifts of the PPC

  • Caused by changes in resources (labor, capital, natural resources) or technology/productivity
  • Outward shift = economic growth; inward shift = economic contraction (e.g., war, disaster)
  • Improvement affecting only one good shifts only that axis’s intercept
  • Distinguish shifting the curve (change in capacity) from moving along the curve (change in choice)

Efficiency

  • Efficiency: optimal use of scarce resources
  • Productive efficiency: production at lowest cost; on PPC = using all resources (points on curve)
  • Allocative efficiency: production matches society’s preferences (not shown via PPC alone)
  • Points on curve = efficient; inside curve = inefficient (could produce more); outside = infeasible

More from Core economic concepts

  • First principles
  • Ricardian trade
  • Macroeconomic choice
  • Markets
  • Demand and supply shifters