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Series 65
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Textbook
Introduction
1. Investment vehicle characteristics
2. Recommendations & strategies
3. Economic factors & business information
3.1 Basic economic concepts
3.1.1 Monetary policy
3.1.2 Rates
3.1.3 Federal Reserve tools
3.1.4 Economic factors
3.1.5 Indicators and market structure
3.1.6 Fiscal policy
3.2 Financial reporting
3.3 Analytical methods
3.4 Descriptive statistics
3.5 Systematic risks
3.6 Non-systematic risks
4. Laws & regulations
Wrapping up
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3.1.6 Fiscal policy
Achievable Series 65
3. Economic factors & business information
3.1. Basic economic concepts

Fiscal policy

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Fiscal policy

Fiscal policy is set and carried out by the U.S. Congress (the House of Representatives and Senate) and the President. It focuses on how the federal government collects money (mainly through taxes) and how it spends that money.

Most government revenue comes from taxation. You’re probably most familiar with income taxes. The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) collected roughly $2.0 trillion in 2021. Even with that amount of revenue, the federal government spent more than it collected, which is known as deficit spending. Fiscal policy determines both how much tax revenue is collected and how individuals and businesses are taxed.

Sidenote
The Internal Revenue Service (IRS)

The IRS is a well-known government institution. Millions of Americans file taxes each year and may owe significant amounts to the IRS. The IRS performs the following roles on behalf of the federal government:

  • Collecting taxes
  • Providing assistance to taxpayers
  • Investigating instances of tax fraud

Investors pay close attention to the IRS because most investment returns are subject to taxation. Broker-dealers report these returns directly to the IRS on various tax forms. The investor then confirms this information when filing their own tax return. If an investor doesn’t file properly, they may be audited (investigated) and could face IRS enforcement actions.

A lien is a legal claim the IRS places on property to secure payment of a tax debt. A levy is the legal seizure of property to satisfy that debt. For example, if an investor doesn’t pay capital gains taxes, the IRS may place a levy on the investor’s paycheck. This can result in part or all of the investor’s earnings being collected until the tax is paid.

The IRS is an agency of the U.S. Department of Treasury, the same organization responsible for issuing U.S. government debt securities.

Sidenote
Progressive vs regressive taxes

The IRS enforces a progressive tax system for personal income taxes. In a progressive system, higher income levels are taxed at higher rates. You don’t need to memorize the brackets, but it helps to know the range: the lowest federal income tax bracket is 10% (for low reported income), while the highest bracket is 37% (for high reported income).

Estate and gift taxes are also progressive. An estate is the assets owned by a deceased person, which are eventually distributed to heirs and beneficiaries. The federal government taxes estates above $15 million and gifts above $19,000. In a progressive system, smaller amounts generally face lower tax obligations.

A regressive tax system applies the same tax rate regardless of income level or the amount of money involved. Sales tax is a common example. Whether you’re a billionaire or have no reported income, you pay the same percentage tax on items you buy at the store. Excise tax - a tax on a specific good (e.g., cigarette taxes) - is also regressive.

Keynesian (demand-side) theory

A modern approach to fiscal policy called Keynesian (demand-side) theory was developed by British economist John Maynard Keynes during the Great Depression era. The core idea is that increased government spending can drive economic growth.

In a recession, Keynes argued that the government should spend large amounts of money. This spending increases demand for goods and services and can raise employment. For example, the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 was enacted during the Great Recession of 2008. The bill led to more than $800 billion in spending on infrastructure, healthcare, education, and social programs during the most severe economic collapse since the Great Depression. More than a decade later, many economists agree the legislation reduced unemployment and encouraged economic growth. When the private (non-government) sector isn’t hiring or spending enough to support growth, the government can increase spending, including through deficit spending.

Keynesian policy also works in the opposite direction. When inflation rises because the economy is “overheating,” the government can reduce spending to help stabilize prices.

Keynes also argued that tax rates can be used to influence economic activity:

In a recession, tax rates should fall to encourage individuals and businesses to spend more, supporting growth. In an inflationary environment, the government should raise taxes to help stabilize prices.

Supply-side theory

In many ways, supply-side theory takes the opposite approach from Keynesian theory. As the name suggests, supply-side theorists focus on increasing the supply of goods and services across the economy, often through reduced taxation and reduced government spending. A recent example is the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, which resulted in significant cuts to individual income, corporate, estate, and portfolio (investment) income tax rates.

When comparing supply-side and demand-side (Keynesian) theory, the key difference is what each view treats as the main driver of economic activity:

Demand-side proponents emphasize demand for goods and services, including demand created by government spending. Supply-side proponents emphasize production and investment by the private (business) sector.

Summary of fiscal vs. monetary policy

Both fiscal and monetary policy are used by the U.S. government to influence the economy. You’ll want to know how they differ, who controls them, and the main tools each one uses.

Fiscal policy

  • Controlled by Congress and the President
  • Keynesian (demand-side) theory
    • Increased gov’t spending benefits the economy
  • Supply-side theory
    • Decreased gov’t spending benefits the economy

Monetary policy

  • Controlled by the Federal Reserve
  • In a recession
    • Increase (loosen) money supply
    • Bring interest rates down
  • In an inflationary environment
    • Decrease (tighten) money supply
    • Bring interest rates up
Key points

Fiscal policy

  • Relates to taxation and gov’t spending
  • Controlled by Congress and the President

Internal Revenue Service (IRS)

  • Government agency responsible for:
    • Collecting taxes
    • Providing assistance to taxpayers
    • Investigating instances of tax fraud

Progressive tax systems

  • Higher taxes if more money involved
  • Examples:
    • Income taxes
    • Estate taxes
    • Gift taxes

Regressive tax systems

  • Flat tax rates
  • Examples:
    • Sales taxes
    • Excise taxes

Keynesian (demand-side) theory

  • Gov’t spending and taxation influence the economy
  • In a recession:
    • Gov’t spending increases
    • Tax rates fall
  • In an inflationary environment:
    • Gov’t spending decreases
    • Tax rates rise

Supply-side theory

  • Reduced gov’t spending and taxation stimulate the economy

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