Textbook
1. Introduction
2. Investment vehicle characteristics
3. Recommendations & strategies
4. Economic factors & business information
4.1 Basic economic concepts
4.1.1 Monetary policy
4.1.2 Rates
4.1.3 Federal Reserve tools
4.1.4 Economic factors
4.1.5 Fiscal policy
4.2 Financial reporting
4.3 Analytical methods
4.4 Types of risk
5. Laws & regulations
6. Wrapping up
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4.1.5 Fiscal policy
Achievable Series 65
4. Economic factors & business information
4.1. Basic economic concepts

Fiscal policy

Fiscal policy

Fiscal policy is controlled and implemented by the U.S. Congress (House of Representatives and Senate) and the President. This form of economic policy focuses on how our government collects and spends money.

The majority of the government’s revenue is collected through taxation. You’re probably most familiar with income taxes, which the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) collected roughly $2.0 trillion of in 2021. That’s a lot of money, but the government spent even more than it collected (known as deficit spending). The amount of taxes collected and how individuals and businesses are assessed is determined through fiscal policy.

Sidenote
The Internal Revenue Service (IRS)

The IRS is a well-known government institution. Millions of Americans file their taxes yearly and sometimes owe considerable amounts to the IRS. This institution fulfills the following roles on behalf of the federal government:

  • Collecting taxes
  • Providing assistance to taxpayers
  • Investigating instances of tax fraud

Investors are acutely aware of the IRS, as most investment returns are subject to taxation. Broker-dealers report these returns directly to the IRS on various tax forms, which are confirmed when the investor makes their own tax filing. If an investor does not make the proper filings, they are subject to being audited (investigated) and potential levies. A levy occurs when the IRS places a hold on a property to satisfy a debt. For example, an investor does not pay capital gains taxes, and the IRS establishes a levy on the investor’s paycheck. This would result in the collection of part or all of the investor’s earnings until the tax is paid off.

The IRS is an agency of the U.S. Department of Treasury, the same organization responsible for issuing U.S. government debt securities.

Sidenote
Progressive vs regressive taxes

The IRS enforces a progressive tax system with personal income taxes. Those with higher income levels pay higher taxes on their income. While you don’t need to know the specifics, the lowest federal income tax bracket is 10% (for those with low reported income), while the highest income tax bracket is 37% (for those with high reported income).

Estate and gift taxes are also progressive. An estate refers to assets owned by a deceased person, which eventually are distributed to heirs and beneficiaries. The federal government taxes estates above $13.61 million and gifts above $18,000. Those with less money involved are subject to lower tax obligations in a progressive tax system.

A regressive tax system is a flat taxing system, regardless of income levels or amount of money involved. Sales tax is a good example. Whether you’re a billionaire or have no reported income, you pay the same percent tax on the items you buy at the store. Excise tax, a tax on a specific good (e.g., cigarette taxes), is also regressive.

Keynesian (demand-side) theory

A modern form of fiscal policy called Keynesian (demand-side) theory was developed by British economist John Maynard Keynes in the Depression era. His theory stated that increased government spending drives the economy’s growth.

In a recession, the government should (according to Keynes) spend immense amounts of money, which drives demand for certain goods and services while increasing employment. For example, the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 was enacted amid the Great Recession of 2008. The bill resulted in more than $800 billion spent on infrastructure, healthcare, education, and social programs amid the greatest economic collapse since the Great Depression. Well more than a decade later, many economists agree the legislation reduced unemployment and encouraged economic growth. If the private (non-government) sector is not hiring or spending enough money to keep the economy growing, the government certainly can (through deficit spending).

It also works the other way; the government should reduce spending to stabilize prices when inflation rises due to an “overheating” economy.

Keynes also argued tax rates could be used to influence the economy. In a recession, tax rates should fall to incentivize individuals and businesses to spend more money, encouraging economic growth. On the other hand, the government should raise taxes in an inflationary environment, leading to stabilizing prices.

Supply-side theory

In many ways, supply-side theory is the opposite of Keynesian theory. As the name suggests, supply-side theorists encourage a growing supply of goods and services across the economy through reduced taxation and government spending. A recent example is the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, which resulted in significant cuts to individual income, corporate, estate, and portfolio (investment) income tax rates.

When comparing supply-side to demand-side (Keynesian) theory, the belief of what drives economic activity is the primary difference. Demand-side proponents believe demand for goods and services from the government is the catalyst. In contrast, supply-side proponents believe the supply of goods and services from the private (business) sector is.

Summary of fiscal vs. monetary policy

Both fiscal and monetary policy are utilized by our government to influence the economy. It’s important to know the differences, how they’re controlled, and the various ways the policies are implemented. Here’s a summary that should help:

Fiscal policy

  • Controlled by Congress and the President
  • Keynesian (demand-side) theory
    • Increased gov’t spending benefits the economy
  • Supply-side theory
    • Decreased gov’t spending benefits the economy

Monetary policy

  • Controlled by the Federal Reserve
  • In a recession
    • Increase (loosen) money supply
    • Bring interest rates down
  • In an inflationary environment
    • Decrease (tighten) money supply
    • Bring interest rates up
Key points

Fiscal policy

  • Relates to taxation and gov’t spending
  • Controlled by Congress and the President

Internal Revenue Service (IRS)

  • Government agency responsible for:
    • Collecting taxes
    • Providing assistance to taxpayers
    • Investigating instances of tax fraud

Progressive tax systems

  • Higher taxes if more money involved
  • Examples:
    • Income taxes
    • Estate taxes
    • Gift taxes

Regressive tax systems

  • Flat tax rates
  • Examples:
    • Sales taxes
    • Excise taxes

Keynesian (demand-side) theory

  • Gov’t spending and taxation influence the economy
  • In a recession:
    • Gov’t spending increases
    • Tax rates fall
  • In an inflationary environment:
    • Gov’t spending decreases
    • Tax rates rise

Supply-side theory

  • Reduced gov’t spending and taxation stimulate the economy

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